The Cleveland Browns have the fifth most fourth down attempts in the NFL but are 26th out of 32 teams on fourth down conversions. The analytics, apparently, tell coach Stefanski to go for it on fourth down rather than punting. But doesn’t the team’s consistent failure on fourth down change the analytics? Or at least make the coaching staff wonder if they should try punting just to see what happens? It’s possible there is something missing from the analysis and fourth down conversions aren’t helpful. Makes me wonder where in my life I’m banging my head against the analytics tree and fail to see the reality forest around me.
Read this article for a deeper dive into when statistics and analytics don’t match reality – which turns out is quite often: Collaborativefund.com
